Beyond El Niño: Decadal and Interdecadal Climate Variability by Lawrence A. Mysak (auth.), Dr. Antonio Navarra (eds.)

By Lawrence A. Mysak (auth.), Dr. Antonio Navarra (eds.)

The curiosity and point of analysis into weather variability has risen dramatically in recent times, and significant breakthroughs were accomplished within the figuring out and modelling of seasonal to interannual weather variability and prediction. while, the documentation of long run variability and its underlying mecha­ nisms have stepped forward significantly. in the eu Commission's atmosphere and weather study courses numerous very important initiatives were supported in those parts - together with the "Dec­ adal and Interdecadal weather variability scan" (DICE) which types the foundation of this ebook. in the EC supported weather examine, we see an expanding value of analysis into weather variability, as is evidenced within the upcoming 5th Framework Programme's Key motion on international swap, weather and Biodi­ versity. the reason is, of the most obvious power socio-economic merits from sea­ sonal to decadal scale weather prediction and both very important for the elemental figuring out of the weather approach to aid enhance the standard and reliability of destiny weather swap and mankind's present interference with it. The cube staff has played vital and pioneering paintings, and we are hoping this ebook will obtain the vast distribution and popularity it merits. We wel­ come the contributions from distinctive researchers from US, Japan and Canada to the EC's cube staff in the direction of finishing the scope of the ebook and as an examination­ ple of overseas cooperation that is crucial in any such high-level medical endeavor.

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In particular, prior to the late 1980s GISA event described in section 3, this figure shows that the flux convergence and runoff were both above average in the mid-1980s, which is consistent with the feedback loop. Further evidence of a link between atmosphere-ice interactions in the Greenland-Iceland Sea and atmospheric variability 18 Lawrence A. Mysak over northern Canada (especially over the CAA) is presented in Fig. 14 which is reproduced from Slonosky et al. (1997). Fig. 14a indicates that the EOF 1 sea ice fluctuations in the Greenland Sea are simultaneously correlated with the SLP fluctuations both locally and over the CAA.

11 As in Fig. 1 0, but for EOF 1 of winter SLP. ) 95 16 Lawrence A. 08 -r----------=::=::::=::::::=----------. 12 As in Fig. 10, but for EOF I on winter 850 T. , 1997) 95 Interdecadal Variability at Northern High Latitudes l7 Fig. 13 The Mackenzie River and its drainage basin (bold lines). The plus symbols indicate the positions of the precipitation stations. Runoff station Norman Wells is marked with "N" and Fort Simpson with "F". The cyclone frequencies were calculated for the whole area shown.

For example, they may force ice cover anomalies in the Canadian Arctic Archipelago (CAA) which in turn may excite ice anomalies in Baffin Bay and thus the Labrador Sea (see Fig. 8b in Mysak and Power, 1992). , 1996). 4 Possible sources for the precipitation and runoff anomalies in the Mackenzie basin: An attempt to verify the cyclogenesisrelated links in the feedback loop In Bjornsson et al. (1995), an analysis was presented of extratropical cyclone frequency and the 500 mb height standard deviation field in the northern hemisphere, together with precipitation data from 15 stations in the Mackenzie basin (Fig.

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